Monday, November 7, 2016

Election odds

According to the NYTimes Upshot column, Hillary Clinton has an 84% chance of winning the election tomorrow.  To put that in sporting terms, the author says: "Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an N.F.L. kicker misses a 38-yard field goal."  That seems like pretty safe odds for Hillary.

Unless, of course, the kicker you use for the simulation is somebody like...










Oh no...

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